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Event markets turn real-world questions into tradable probabilities. Will this candidate win? Does BTC close the year above $150,000? Who takes the championship? If the timeline’s arguing about it, there’s probably a market on it.

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How event markets work

Every event market is a question with defined outcomes. Each outcome trades as a share priced between $0 and $1:
  • The price is the probability. YES at 35¢ means the market says ~35% chance.
  • Right? Each share pays $1**. Wrong? **$0.
  • You don’t wait for resolution if you don’t want to — sell anytime to lock a gain or cut a loss.
Example. “Will the Fed cut rates in March?” YES trades at 42¢. You buy 1,000 shares for $420. The Fed cuts: shares pay $1,000 — a $580 win. The market moves to 60¢ before the meeting: sell early for $600 and take $180 without waiting.

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What you can trade

  • Politics — elections, policy decisions, appointments
  • Sports — championships, match outcomes, season milestones
  • Crypto — price milestones, protocol events, ETF decisions
  • Macro — rate decisions, CPI prints, economic events
  • Culture — awards, launches, the internet’s argument of the week
New markets are curated and listed every week — each with written resolution rules before it goes live.

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Resolution

Every event market carries a resolution rules panel on its page: the exact question, the resolution source, the deadline. When the source confirms the outcome, winning shares redeem at $1 and settlement lands in your balance.
Read the resolution rules before you trade. The edge case you’re imagining is usually answered there — what counts, which source decides, what happens if the event is cancelled.

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Event markets vs. perps

On event markets you can never lose more than you paid. Risk is defined the moment you buy — which makes them the natural first trade on Monofin.